Consumer

Consumer Price Index Summary

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 INTERNET ADDRESS:      		    Friday, December 15, 2000
     http://stats.bls.gov/cpihome.htm  
 
                                  
                   CONSUMER PRICE INDEX:  NOVEMBER 2000
 
      The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased
 0.1 percent in November, before seasonal adjustment, to a level of 174.1
 (1982-84=100), the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of
 Labor reported today.  For the 12-month period ended in November, the CPI-
 U increased 3.4 percent.
      
      The Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers
 (CPI-W) rose 0.2 percent in November, prior to seasonal adjustment.  The
 November level of 170.9 was 3.5 percent higher than the index in November
 1999.
      
 CPI for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U)
      
      On a seasonally adjusted basis, the CPI-U rose 0.2 percent in
 November, the same as in October.  The food index, which rose 0.1 percent
 in October, was unchanged in November.  The energy index increased 0.1
 percent in November, following a 0.2 percent rise in October.  In
 November, the index for petroleum-based energy increased 0.2 percent,
 while the index for energy services declined 0.1 percent.  Excluding food
 and energy, the CPI-U rose 0.3 percent, following a 0.2 percent rise in
 October.  A sharp upturn in the tobacco index was principally responsible
 for the larger advance in November.
 
 Table A.  Percent changes in CPI for Urban Consumers (CPI-U)
                                        Seasonally adjusted             Un-
                                                          Compound   adjusted
     Expenditure        Changes from preceding month    annual rate   12-mos.
      Category                      2000                3-mos. ended   ended
                     May June July Aug. Sep. Oct. Nov.   Nov. '00    Nov. '00
 All Items            .1    .5   .2  -.1   .5   .2   .2    3.5       3.4
  Food and beverages  .5    .1   .5   .2   .1   .1   .1    1.2       2.3
  Housing             .2    .5   .3   .2   .4   .5   .2    4.5       4.1
  Apparel            -.2   -.6 -1.0   .2  1.6   .3  -.4    6.1      -1.3
  Transportation     -.5   1.8  -.3 -1.1  1.0  -.4   .3    4.0       5.1
  Medical care        .3    .4   .3   .4   .4   .3   .2    3.5       4.3
  Recreation          .3    .3   .3   .1   .1   .0  -.1     .0       1.8
  Education and                                                         
    communication     .1   -.1   .6   .2  -.7   .8  -.2    -.4       1.0
  Other goods and                                                     
    services         -.6   -.2  1.0  -.3  1.1  -.6  1.2    6.9       5.0
  Special Indexes                                                       
   Energy           -1.9   5.6   .1 -2.9  3.8   .2   .1   17.3      16.0
   Food               .5    .1   .5   .2   .2   .1   .0    1.2       2.2
   All Items less                                                       
     food and energy  .2    .2   .2   .2   .3   .2   .3    2.9       2.6


      During the first 11 months of 2000, the CPI-U rose at a 3.5 percent
 seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR).  This compares with an increase of
 2.7 percent for all of 1999.  The energy index, which increased 13.4
 percent in 1999, has risen at a 15.1 percent SAAR thus far in 2000.  In
 the first 11 months of 2000, petroleum-based energy costs increased at an
 18.9 percent SAAR, and charges for energy services rose at an 11.2 percent
 annual rate.  The food index has risen at a 2.4 percent SAAR thus far in
 2000, following a 1.9 percent increase for all of 1999.  Excluding food
 and energy, the CPI-U has advanced at a 2.7 percent rate thus far in 2000,
 compared with a 1.9 percent rise for all of 1999.
      
      The food and beverages index increased 0.1 percent in November, the
 same as in each of the preceding two months.  The index for food at home
 declined 0.1 percent in November.  The index for meats, poultry, fish, and
 eggs declined 1.0 percent in November.  Poultry prices fell 3.0 percent as
 the index for other poultry, including turkey, declined 5.1 percent.  Meat
 prices declined for the third consecutive month; a 1.2 percent drop in
 pork prices more than offset a 1.2 percent rise in the index for other
 meats, while the index for beef was unchanged.  The indexes for cereal and
 bakery products and for dairy products each declined 0.3 percent.  The
 index for fruits and vegetables rose 0.7 percent in November.  Within the
 fruits and vegetables group, the indexes for fresh fruits and for fresh
 vegetables rose 2.0 and 0.9 percent, respectively, more than offsetting a
 2.0 percent decline in the index for processed fruits and vegetables.  The
 index for nonalcoholic beverages rose 0.7 percent, reflecting a 1.5
 percent increase in the index for carbonated drinks.  The index for other
 food at home increased 0.6 percent.  The other two components of the food
 and beverages index--food away from home and alcoholic beverages--
 increased 0.1 and 0.5 percent, respectively, in November.
      
      The housing index increased 0.2 percent in November, following a 0.5
 percent rise in October.  The index for fuels and utilities, which
 advanced 1.3 percent in October, rose 0.1 percent in November.  In
 November, the indexes for fuel oil and for electricity increased 0.1 and
 0.2 percent, respectively, while the index for natural gas declined 0.7
 percent.  (Prior to seasonal adjustment, prices for fuel oil increased 2.1
 percent and charges for natural gas rose 2.0 percent, while charges for
 electricity declined 2.0 percent.)  During the past 12 months, prices for
 fuel oil have increased 45.2 percent and charges for natural gas 25.6
 percent.  Charges for electricity have risen 2.3 percent.  Shelter costs
 increased 0.3 percent in November, following a 0.4 percent rise in
 October.  Within shelter, the indexes for rent and for owners' equivalent
 rent each increased 0.3 percent, and the index for lodging away from home
 rose 0.2 percent.  The index for household furnishings and operations,
 which was unchanged in October, advanced 0.4 percent in November.
      
      The transportation component turned back up in November, advancing
 0.3 percent after declining 0.4 percent in October.  The index for
 gasoline prices, which declined 1.4 percent in October, rose 0.3 percent
 in November.  (Prior to seasonal adjustment, gasoline prices declined 0.1
 percent.)   During the past 12 months, gasoline prices have risen 21.6
 percent.  The index for new vehicles turned up in November, advancing 0.1
 percent, following declines in each of the three preceding months.  (Prior
 to seasonal adjustment, new vehicle prices rose 0.8 percent.)  As of
 November, about 48 percent of the new vehicle sample was represented by
 2001 models; in November 1999 new models represented about 58 percent of
 the sample.  The 2001 models will continue to be phased in, with
 appropriate adjustments for quality change, over the next several months
 as they replace old models at dealerships.  (For a report on quality
 changes for the 2001 vehicles represented in the Producer Price Index
 sample, see news release USDL-00-331, dated November 9, 2000.)  The index
 for used cars and trucks increased 0.9 percent in November.  Public
 transportation costs rose 0.5 percent, reflecting a 0.7 percent increase
 in airline fares.  Airline fares have risen 5.1 percent during the past 12
 months.
      
      The index for apparel fell 0.4 percent in November, its first decline
 in four months.  (Prior to seasonal adjustment, apparel prices declined
 0.8 percent, reflecting the discounting of prices for women's wear.)
      
      Medical care costs rose 0.2 percent in November to a level 4.3
 percent higher than a year ago.  In November, the index for medical care
 commodities--prescription and nonprescription drugs and medical supplies--
 rose 0.3 percent.  The index for medical care services rose 0.1 percent.
 Charges for professional services and for hospital and related services
 increased 0.1 and 0.4 percent, respectively.
      
      The index for recreation costs, which was unchanged in October,
 declined 0.1 percent in November.  Price declines for toys, sporting
 goods, and video and audio equipment were largely offset by price
 increases for books, photography, and cable television.
      
      The index for education and communication declined 0.2 percent in
 November.  Educational costs rose 0.4 percent, while the index for
 communication declined 0.9 percent.  Within the communication group, the
 indexes for telephone services and for personal computers and peripheral
 equipment fell 0.8 and 2.6 percent, respectively.
      
      The index for other goods and services, which declined 0.6 percent in
 October, increased 1.2 percent in November.  Cigarette prices, which fell
 2.8 percent in October, increased 3.7 percent in November, accounting for
 the upturn in this major group.
 
 
 CPI for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W)
      
      On a seasonally adjusted basis, the CPI for Urban Wage Earners and
 Clerical Workers rose 0.2 percent in November.


 Table B.  Percent changes in CPI for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical
 Workers (CPI-W)
                              Seasonally adjusted             Un-
                                                          Compound   adjusted
     Expenditure        Changes from preceding month    annual rate   12-mos.
      Category                      2000                3-mos. ended   ended
                     May June July Aug. Sep. Oct. Nov.   Nov. '00    Nov. '00               
 All Items            .1    .6   .2  -.2   .6   .1   .2    3.8       3.5
  Food and beverages  .5    .1   .5   .2   .2   .1   .0    1.2       2.4
  Housing             .2    .5   .4   .1   .5   .4   .3    4.9       4.0
  Apparel            -.2   -.5 -1.2   .1  1.4   .4  -.3    6.1      -1.4
  Transportation     -.5   2.0  -.5 -1.3  1.3  -.3   .4    5.6       5.4
  Medical care        .3    .4   .3   .4   .4   .3   .2    3.4       4.2
  Recreation          .4    .3   .1   .1   .1   .0  -.1     .0       1.7
  Education and                                                         
    communication     .2   -.3   .6   .2  -.7   .9  -.3    -.4        .7
  Other goods and                                                     
    services        -1.0   -.3  1.2  -.4  1.5 -1.0  1.5    8.2       5.6
 Special Indexes                                                        
  Energy            -1.9   6.2  -.5 -3.4  4.2   .0   .2   18.8      16.2
  Food                .5    .1   .5   .2   .2   .1   .0    1.2       2.3
  All Items less                                                        
    food and energy   .2    .1   .2   .2   .3   .1   .3    3.0       2.5


     Consumer Price Index data for December are scheduled for release on
 Wednesday, January 17, 2001, at 8:30 A.M. (EST).  Releases for the
 remainder of 2001:
     
           Feb. 21                  Aug. 16
           Mar. 21                  Sep. 18
           Apr. 17                  Oct. 19
           May 16                   Nov. 16
           June 15                  Dec. 14
           July 18                  Jan. 16, 2002

 __________________________________________________________________________ 


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       Brief Explanation of the CPI

            The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the
       average change in prices over time in a market basket of
       goods and services.  The Bureau of Labor Statistics
       publishes CPIs for two population groups:  (1) a CPI for All
       Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which covers approximately 87
       percent of the total population and (2) a CPI for Urban Wage
       Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W) which covers 32 percent
       of the total population.  The CPI-U includes, in addition to
       wage earners and clerical workers, groups such as
       professional, managerial, and technical workers, the self-
       employed, short-term workers, the unemployed, and retirees
       and others not in the labor force.
       
            The CPI is based on prices of food, clothing, shelter,
       and fuels, transportation fares, charges for doctors' and
       dentists' services, drugs, and other goods and services that
       people buy for day-to-day living.  Prices are collected in
       87 urban areas across the country from about 50,000 housing
       units and approximately 23,000 retail establishments-
       department stores, supermarkets, hospitals, filling
       stations, and other types of stores and service
       establishments.  All taxes directly associated with the
       purchase and use of items are included in the index.  Prices
       of fuels and a few other items are obtained every month in
       all 87 locations.  Prices of most other commodities and
       services are collected every month in the three largest
       geographic areas and every other month in other areas.
       Prices of most goods and services are obtained by personal
       visits or telephone calls of the Bureau's trained
       representatives.
       
            In calculating the index, price changes for the various
       items in each location are averaged together with weights
       which represent their importance in the spending of the
       appropriate population group.  Local data are then combined
       to obtain a U.S. city average.  Separate indexes are also
       published by size of city, by region of the country, for
       cross-classifications of regions and population-size
       classes, and for 26 local areas.  Area indexes do not
       measure differences in the level of prices among cities,
       they only measure the average change in prices for each area
       since the base period.
       
            The index measures price change from a designed
       reference date-1982-84 which equals 100.0.  An increase of
       16.5 percent, for example, is shown as 116.5.  This change
       can also be expressed in dollars as follows:  the price of a
       base period market basket of goods and services in the CPI
       has risen from $10 in 1982-84 to $11.65.
       
            For further details visit the CPI home page on the
       Internet at http://stats.bls.gov/cpihome.htm or contact our
       CPI Information and Analysis Section on (202) 691-7000.
       
 __________________________________________________________________________            
            
            
       Calculating Index Changes
       
            Movements of the indexes from one month to another are
       usually expressed as percent changes rather than changes in index 
       points, because index point changes are affected by the level of 
       the index in relation to its base period while percent changes are 
       not.  The example below illustrates the computation of index point 
       and percent changes.
       
            Percent changes for 3-month and 6-month periods are expressed 
       as annual rates and are computed according to the standard formula 
       for compound growth rates.  These data indicate what the percent 
       change would be if the current rate were maintained for a 12-month 
       period.
       
         
                    Index Point Change
       
       CPI   					115.7
       Less previous index    			111.2
       Equals index point change  		4.5
       
       
                    Percent Change
       
       Index point difference			4.5
       Divided by the previous index		111.2
       Equals					0.040
       Results multiplied by one hundred	0.040x100
       Equals percent change			4.0
       
       
 _________________________________________________________________________    
            
 
       A Note on Seasonally Adjusted and Unadjusted Data

            Because price data are used for different purposes by
       different groups, the Bureau of Labor Statistics publishes
       seasonally adjusted as well as unadjusted changes each
       month.
       
            For analyzing general price trends in the economy,
       seasonally adjusted changes are usually preferred since they
       eliminate the effect of changes that normally occur at the
       same time and in about the same magnitude every year--such
       as price movements resulting from changing climatic
       conditions, production cycles, model changeovers, holidays,
       and sales.
       
            The unadjusted data are of primary interest to
       consumers concerned about the prices they actually pay.
       Unadjusted data also are used extensively for escalation
       purposes.  Many collective bargaining contract agreements
       and pension plans, for example, tie compensation changes to
       the Consumer Price Index unadjusted for seasonal variation.
       
            Seasonal factors used in computing the seasonally
       adjusted indexes are derived by the X-12-ARIMA Seasonal
       Adjustment Method.  The updated seasonal data at the end of
       1977 replaced data from 1967 through 1977.  Subsequent
       annual updates have replaced 5 years of seasonal data, e.g.,
       data from 1995 through 1999 were replaced at the end of
       1999.  The seasonal movement of all items and 54 other
       aggregations is derived by combining the seasonal movement
       of 73 selected components.  Each year the seasonal status of
       every series is reevaluated based upon certain statistical
       criteria.  If any of the 73 components change their seasonal
       adjustment status from seasonally adjusted to not seasonally
       adjusted, not seasonally adjusted data will be used for the
       last 5 years, but the seasonally adjusted indexes will be
       used before that period.
       
            Seasonally adjusted data, including the All items index
       levels, are subject to revision for up to five years after
       their original release.  For this reason, BLS advises
       against the use of these data in escalation agreements.
       
            Effective with the calculation of the seasonal factors
       for 1990, the Bureau of Labor Statistics has used an
       enhanced seasonal adjustment procedure called Intervention
       Analysis Seasonal Adjustment for some CPI series.
       Intervention Analysis Seasonal Adjustment allows for better
       estimates of seasonally adjusted data.  Extreme values
       and/or sharp movements which might distort the seasonal
       pattern are estimated and removed from the data prior to
       calculation of seasonal factors.  Beginning with the
       calculation of seasonal factors for 1996, X-12-ARIMA
       software was used for Intervention Analysis Seasonal
       Adjustment.
       
            For the fuel oil and the motor fuels indexes, this
       procedure was used to offset the effects that extreme price
       volatility would otherwise have had on the estimates of
       seasonally adjusted data for those series.  For the
       breakfast cereal index, the procedure was used to offset the
       effects of price-cutting among cereal manufacturers.  For
       the educational books and supplies index, the procedure was
       used to account for greater than normal sale prices on
       educational reference books.  For some alcoholic beverage
       series, Intervention Analysis Seasonal Adjustment was used
       to offset the effects of increased brewer's costs along with
       increased demand for specialty beers.  For the nonalcoholic
       beverages index, the procedure was used to offset the
       effects of a large increase in coffee prices due to adverse
       weather.  For the fats and oils series, the procedure was
       used to account for lower domestic butter stocks, lower cold
       storage supplies, and anticipation of a bumper soybean crop.
       For the new trucks index, the procedure was applied to
       account for loyalty rebates offered to customers by American
       automakers.   For the water and sewerage maintenance index, 
       the procedure was used to account for a data collection anomaly.
       
            A description of Intervention Analysis Seasonal
       Adjustment, as well as a list of unusual events modeled and
       seasonal factors for these items may be obtained by writing
       the Bureau of Labor Statistics, Division of Consumer Prices
       and Price Indexes, Washington, DC 20212 or by calling Claire
       McAnaw Gallagher on (202) 691-6968 or sending e-mail to
       Gallagher_C@BLS.GOV.
 

Table of Contents

Consumer Price Index


Bureau of Labor Statistics
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Last modified: Friday, December 15, 2000
URL: /news.release/cpi.nr0.htm